by Karen
Arthur Ashe Stadium, New York |
I can’t believe
it. It is almost time for the US
Open. The USO Series is almost finished,
I say almost because even though Serena Williams has been crowned for the
second year running as the winner of the USO Series, there are still
tournaments happening in the Series, i.e. Connecticut Open in New Haven and
Winston Salem in North Carolina.
Qualifying has
started for the US Open. There are some
really dangerous women in the qualifying draw and I will be watching to see if
they make it into the main draw. It is
disheartening to see some of the names who are in the qualifying draw, Tamira
Paszek, Ashleigh Barty, Putintseva amongst others are all in the draw. Should make for some very tasty match ups.
The first 3 Majors have crowned 3
very distinct champions, but most notably they have all been women who have
lifted Grand Slam trophies. What has
made this US Open a bit more tasty in terms of trying to predict who will win,
is that none of the 3 women who have lifted trophies this year is named Serena
Williams. The World’s No.1 and current
holder of the US Open has not made it to the quarter finals of the year’s first
3 Grand Slams. She has been ousted by
Ana Ivanovic (Australia), Garbine Muguruza (Paris) and Alize Cornet
(Wimbledon). The one thing that defined those 3 wins was the lack of Serena’s
main weapon of choice on the tennis courts.
As many of us who have watched Serena play, if her serve is on, it is
game over. In the three matches that she
lost her serve, while hitting in the high 100s was absent for most of the
matches in which she lost. Her second
serve, usually the best on the women’s Tour (in my opinion) because of its
variety and disguise was feasted on by all 3 women in taking down Serena. Only one tennis writer has made mention of the
serve speed and power on Serena’s serve and that is Kamakashi Tandon. A link to the article is here.
Most tennis writers are going to
pick Serena to win it all in New York.
They all picked Serena as well to win one of the year’s first 3
Majors. If you are a die hard tennis fan
and you really pay attention to the women’s game, and if you really think about
it, who else other than Serena can you pick?
It is a lazy pick, but you have to ask yourself the question, if not
Serena who?
- · Maria Sharapova – has not made the final in New York since winning it in 2006
- · Simona Halep – her dismal showing during the USO Series can only be summed up as resting for the big one
- · Petra Kvitova – has never done anything remarkable in New York and it will not start this year
- · Aga Radwanska – will perhaps make it as far as the quarters before she is hit off the court
- · Kerber, Bouchard, Ivanovic round out the top 10 (Li Na is ranked No. 3 but is absent due to injury). Of these 3 only Ivanovic has tasted success at the Grand Slam level by winning the French Open in 2008. She has been to 3 Grand Slam finals in her career having a win/loss record of 1-2. Bouchard is 0 and 1 and Kerber made the semi-finals of a Grand Slam once in her career, losing to eventual champion Sam Stosur in a tough 3 setter.
A look at the top 10 shows you why
journalists are always picking Serena to win it all. However, the Spin team is going to go out on
a limb and leave the top 10 behind. In a
year full of upsets, break out players, mid-match meltdowns and shaking my head
because I can’t believe that happened moments, we think that this year’s US
Open winner will come from left field to win it all. We here at the Spin think that if Serena
falters (and that first round match is nothing to shake a stick at), we think
the following players have a chance at lifting the Billie Jean King trophy.
Here goes
Name of Player
|
Strength
|
Weakness
|
Venus
Williams
|
·
Has won here before
·
Why not
·
Why not
·
Why not
|
·
Sjorgen’s
|
Madison
Keys
|
·
Huge serve;
·
Big forehand
·
Mentally tough
·
Loves the big stage
·
Confidence from winning her first title of her very young career
|
·
·
That backhand is either a kill short or will be beaten to a pulp by
her colleagues
·
Second serve can go off during testing times
|
Sam
Stosur
|
·
serve – when was the last
time you watched a women’s match where there was not one break of serve. Even though she lost that match against
Serena in Cincinnati, Stosur has shown some remarkable mental improvement
during this USO Series
·
forehand – all that top spin
just keeps pushing her opponents right where they don’t want to be
·
ability to mix it up with
superb slices and volleys
·
she has won here before
|
·
backhand
– it has improved … a lot – see match against Bouchard in New Haven
·
Mentally
can go walkabouts
·
If serve
is not clicking or she comes up against an opponent on fire she can go away
·
|
Svetlana
Kuznetsova
|
·
Confidence
has returned in abundance. That can
happen when you win your first title in 4 years;
·
Forehand
– is there a bigger forehand in the women’s game when it is on
·
Movement
and firepower
·
Has won
it all before – champion in 2004. What
better way to cement her legacy than to win it all again 10 years after
lifting her first Grand Slam title
·
|
·
This is
Sveta we are talking about. Take your
pick and you would probably be right, but Sveta’s greatest weakness is Sveta
herself.
·
|
Lucie
Safarova
|
·
Big forehand
·
Great backhand
·
Variety
|
·
Too many
to mention. Safarova is one of those players that I absolutely love to watch
playing. Her game is compact and when
it is on, it is really great to see her play very good tennis, but this year,
Safarova has lost many matches from a winning position. How great would it be if she actually won a
tournament that she was slated to lose?
·
|
Caroline
Wozniacki
|
·
Single
|
·
No more
Rory
|
If Rory thinks
that breaking off his engagement has improved his game, then it has put a
certain amount of renewed focus in his ex-fiancée’s game. Wozniacki has been playing really good
tennis, especially during the USO Series.
She has played incredibly well during this USO Series and has been
unfortunate to come upon the buzz saw that is Serena Williams. The matches have not been easy but her
improved serve and the fact that she has more pop on her ground strokes makes
me think that Wozniacki could make a push this year for the title. After all in her lone Grand Slam final, she
did push Clijsters to a tough 2 set win in 2009. Amazing what can happen when you don’t have
some man distracting you from your professional goals.
YOUNG UNS
Most of those who I have picked are
veterans, but what about those young players who are making lots of noise. I think Muguruza if she is healthy has a
chance, just as much as Sloane Stephens, who is playing really good tennis since
teaming up with Thomas Hogstedt. I like that
Sloane is showing that she cares, because for a minute there, we were all
wondering if she thought she wanted to be somewhere other than a tennis court.
More of that please Sloane.
UPSET SPECIAL
A Grand Slam preview would not be
complete without an upset special.
Eugenie Bouchard is in the doldrums.
Whether it is that humiliating loss to Petra Kvitova at Wimbledon in her
first Grand Slam final, or maybe it was the sandwich bagel that she endured in
front of her home town fans, but Bouchard seems to be dealing with her
sophomore slump right in the middle of her breakout year. I don’t see her completing the semi Grand
Slam this year.
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